Miami Heat vs. Warriors: Game Preview and Predictions

Miami Heat game preview

Image Source: Sportsbook Wire

The Miami Heat are set to take on the Golden State Warriors this coming Monday, January 19, 2026, at the famed Chase Center in San Francisco. This highly anticipated matchup kicks off at 10 p.m. ET, and fans are eager to see how these teams match up once again.

In the current NBA season, the Miami Heat have a record of 22 wins and 20 losses, while the Golden State Warriors are slightly ahead at 24 wins and 19 losses. These teams met earlier in the season, with the Heat securing a 110-96 victory at home on November 19, where they covered as 10.5-point favorites. That game also featured the Under hitting at 234.5 points, which has been a trend in their recent encounters.

Recent Performance of the Miami Heat

The Miami Heat come into this game after a thrilling victory against the defending-champion Oklahoma City Thunder, which ended with a score of 122-120. Despite being a 10.5-point underdog, the Heat prevailed thanks to an impressive performance from center C Bam Adebayo, who scored 30 points and grabbed 12 rebounds. The Over on that game (235.5) also cashed, further highlighting the Heat’s offensive prowess.

However, it’s important to note that Miami will again be without F Tyler Herro, who is sidelined with a rib injury, which could impact their offensive strategy. In addition, F Jaime Jaquez Jr. is probable with a knee issue, and G Davion Mitchell is also reported as probable with a shoulder injury.

Golden State Warriors’ Recent Achievements

The Golden State Warriors, on the other hand, are fueled by three consecutive wins, including an impressive 136-116 triumph against the Charlotte Hornets. Despite veteran guard Stephen Curry only scoring 14 points in that game, the Warriors’ depth was beneficial as G De’Anthony Melton contributed 24 points off the bench. Curry’s performance and the overall team chemistry will be essential as they prepare to host the Heat.

In terms of injuries, the Warriors will be missing G Seth Curry due to a back issue, while F Draymond Green is probable for Monday night’s game. The status of G De’Anthony Melton is uncertain as he deals with a knee issue, and F Gui Santos is also ruled out with an ankle injury.

Betting Odds and Predictions

As the teams prepare to clash, BetMGM Sportsbook has set the following odds:

  • Moneyline: Heat +180 (bet $100 to win $180), Warriors -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the Spread: Heat +5.5 (-110), Warriors -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

The prediction for this exciting matchup suggests that the Warriors might edge out the Heat with a projected score of 119-115. Though the Warriors are performing well at home, taking the Heat +5.5 could be a smart bet based on their strong performance against the spread lately, as they are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Additionally, considering the history of matchups between these two teams, the Under has hit in six straight games against each other, making the Under 239.5 a tempting option.

Conclusion

With both teams battling not just for the win but also valuable playoff positioning, basketball fans should expect an intense game filled with stellar performances. The Heat’s resilience, symbolized by Adebayo’s ability to pick up the scoring slack without Herro, will be key against a strong Warriors team led by Curry and Green. This game promises to be an exciting highlight in the NBA season and is not to be missed!

FAQs about the Miami Heat vs. Warriors Matchup

1. What time does the Miami Heat play the Golden State Warriors?

The game is scheduled for January 19, 2026, at 10 p.m. ET.

2. Who is injured for the Miami Heat going into this game?

The Heat will be missing F Tyler Herro due to a rib injury, with F Jaime Jaquez Jr. and G Davion Mitchell listed as probable.

3. How did the last game between the Heat and Warriors end?

The last matchup ended with the Heat winning 110-96 on November 19, 2025.

4. What are the odds for the Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors?

The Heat are the underdogs at +5.5, while the Warriors are favored at -5.5 according to BetMGM Sportsbook.

5. What is the Over/Under for the matchup?

The Over/Under is set at 239.5 for their upcoming game.

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