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The Dallas Cowboys are ready to begin the 2026 NFL regular season, and the teamâs staff writers are expecting a winning start against the New York Giants. Dallas will host New York on Sunday night in the first game of Brian Schottenheimerâs second season as head coach.
The matchup carries plenty of intrigue. The Cowboys finished 7-9-1 last season and enter the new campaign with a revamped defense led by coordinator Christian Parker. The Giants, meanwhile, are beginning a new era under John Harbaugh, who takes over after 18 seasons with the Baltimore Ravens.
Cowboys Staff Predict a Dramatic Giants Opener
Despite significant changes on both sidelines, the Dallas staff largely believes the Cowboys have enough firepower to earn a division victory. Every listed prediction favors Dallas, although the expected margins range from a one-point thriller to a more comfortable win.
- Patrik: Cowboys 27, Giants 24
- Josh: Cowboys 31, Giants 21
- Nick: Cowboys 31, Giants 23
- Tommy: Cowboys 21, Giants 20
Critical Matchups Could Decide the Outcome
One of the biggest concerns for Dallas is the absence of Tyler Smith, who is recovering from thumb surgery. T.J. Bass is expected to start at left guard, creating an immediate test for the Cowboysâ offensive line. The Giantsâ front seven includes several dangerous pass rushers, including Brian Burns, Kayvon Thibodeaux and Dexter Lawrence.
Josh identified Tyler Guyton as a central figure in the game. If Guyton can protect Dak Prescottâs blind side, the staff believes Dallas should be able to exploit a Giants secondary facing one of the leagueâs most talented receiving groups.
Prescott enters his 11th season and will once again open a campaign against New York, the same opponent he faced in his first Week 1 start. He is already the Cowboysâ franchise leader in completions, attempts and passing yards, and needs only five touchdown passes to tie Tony Romo for the team record.
Explosive Cowboys Offense Faces a New York Test
The Dallas offense has multiple ways to pressure the Giants. CeeDee Lamb remains the established star of the receiving room, while George Pickens adds another major downfield threat after finishing third in the NFL in receiving yards last season with 1,452.
Ryan Flournoy could also benefit from the attention directed toward Lamb and Pickens. The Cowboys recently extended Flournoy through 2027, and Nick predicted that he would score in the opener. KaVontae Turpin is another player capable of changing the game, both as a receiver and as a return specialist.
The running game may be just as important. Nick pointed to Javonte Williams as a key factor, arguing that productive rushing attempts could keep Dallas out of difficult third-and-long situations. Williams became the Cowboysâ primary running back last season and received an extension after a breakout campaign.
New-Look Defense Raises Expectations
Dallas hopes its defensive overhaul will immediately improve the teamâs results. Quinnen Williams and Kenny Clark are expected to strengthen the interior defensive line, while Rashan Gary, Von Miller and James Houston provide experience and pass-rushing ability on the edge.
Patrik expects the defensive front to limit Cam Skattebo and force Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart into uncomfortable passing situations. He predicted that pressure could lead to multiple interceptions and swing a close game toward Dallas.
Tommy also expects Christian Parkerâs unit to show early progress. With a young quarterback on the opposite side, the Cowboys may use post-snap movement and disguised coverage to create confusion. New additions such as Jalen Thompson, P.J. Locke and rookie Caleb Downs give Dallas a deeper safety group than it had a year ago.
Why the Season Opener Matters
This is more than a routine NFC East matchup. Both teams have undergone major changes, and the opening result could shape early confidence in two organizations with high expectations. Dallas wants to prove its defensive investments can produce a fast turnaround, while New York begins the Harbaugh era under an immediate national spotlight.
The Cowboysâ offensive talent gives them a clear advantage on paper, but the Giantsâ defensive front could make every possession difficult. Protecting Prescott, establishing Williams in the running game and avoiding costly turnovers will be essential.
Based on the staff consensus, Dallas is positioned to start the season with momentum. The predictions point to a competitive game, but the overall message is clear: the Cowboys are expected to finish stronger in the closing minutes.
Frequently Asked Questions
When do the Cowboys play the Giants?
The Cowboys open the 2026 regular season against the New York Giants on Sunday night, September 13, 2026.
What are the staff predictions for Cowboys-Giants?
The predictions are Dallas 27-24, 31-21, 31-23 and 21-20. All four staff writers selected the Cowboys to win.
Who is replacing Tyler Smith on the offensive line?
T.J. Bass is expected to start at left guard while Tyler Smith recovers from thumb surgery.
Which Cowboys players could make the biggest impact?
Dak Prescott, Javonte Williams, CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, Quinnen Williams and Jalen Thompson are among the players highlighted before kickoff.