Image Source: Hawaii News Now
Hurricane Nolo is strengthening rapidly south of Hawaii and could become a major hurricane by the weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm is expected to move closer to Hawaii Island, bringing the potential for dangerous winds, life-threatening flooding, mudslides and coastal inundation.
As of the latest update, Nolo had maximum sustained winds of 75 miles per hour, making it a Category 1 hurricane. The system was moving slowly north-northeast at approximately 5 miles per hour and was centered about 255 miles south of South Point on Hawaii Island, or 435 miles south-southeast of Honolulu.
Hurricane Nolo Could Rapidly Intensify Near Hawaii
Forecasters say the storm is moving over very warm ocean water and abundant moisture, conditions that can fuel rapid strengthening. Nolo is expected to continue moving north or northeast through Friday before making a sharp turn to the west near Hawaii Island on Saturday.
The latest forecast track places the strongest part of the system farther south of Hawaii Island. However, officials caution that uncertainty remains. A closer approach could significantly increase the threat of destructive hurricane-force winds, especially across exposed areas of the island.
The hurricane-force wind field extends up to 30 miles from Nolo’s center, while tropical-storm-force winds reach outward as far as 105 miles. Forecasters say the system could strengthen into a Category 3 major hurricane by the weekend.
Critical Watches and Warnings Cover Hawaii
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Hawaii County, meaning tropical storm conditions are expected within 36 hours. A Hurricane Watch also remains active for Hawaii County, indicating that hurricane conditions are possible within the next 48 hours.
Maui County, including Maui, Molokai, Lanai and Kahoolawe, is under a Tropical Storm Watch. Tropical storm conditions are possible in those areas within 48 hours.
- Hawaii County: Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch
- Maui County: Tropical Storm Watch
- Hawaii and Maui counties: Flood Watch through 6 p.m. Saturday
- East shores of Molokai and Maui: High Surf Advisory
- East and southeast shores of Hawaii Island: High Surf Advisory
Devastating Rainfall and Flooding Threats
Rainfall is expected to be one of the most serious hazards associated with Nolo. Hawaii Island could receive 15 to 30 inches of rain, with isolated maximum totals reaching 35 inches. The National Hurricane Center warns that this amount of rainfall could produce catastrophic flooding and life-threatening mudslides, particularly in steep terrain.
The threat is especially concerning for communities that suffered extensive damage from Hurricane Lala in August. Saturated soil, damaged roads and unstable slopes could make it harder for residents to evacuate and for emergency crews to respond.
Maui could receive 5 to 10 inches of rain, with isolated totals of up to 20 inches. The rest of the state may see 1 to 3 inches, with maximum totals near 6 inches and localized flooding possible.
Coastal Flooding and Dangerous Surf
Storm surge combined with high tide could push seawater into normally dry coastal areas. In Hawaii County, water levels could rise 1 to 3 feet above ground where peak surge coincides with high tide.
Residents and visitors should also expect hazardous surf, particularly along the east and southeast-facing shores. Officials urge people to stay away from beaches, rocky coastlines and exposed coastal roads when conditions deteriorate.
Urgent Preparation Steps for Residents and Visitors
The National Hurricane Center advises residents to complete preparations immediately. Anyone living in a flood-prone location should consider moving to higher ground before roads become dangerous or impassable.
- Secure outdoor objects that could become dangerous in strong winds.
- Charge phones and keep backup power sources available.
- Gather water, food, medications, flashlights and essential documents.
- Know the location of the nearest shelter and understand its rules.
- Leave early if evacuation becomes necessary.
- Never drive through floodwater; turn around and find a safer route.
- Follow evacuation orders and other instructions from local officials.
Emergency response may be delayed during the worst conditions because responders cannot safely reach every location. Visitors should know the name of the community where they are staying and monitor local news for location-specific instructions.
Frequently Asked Questions About Hurricane Nolo
Where is Hurricane Nolo now?
Nolo was positioned about 255 miles south of South Point on Hawaii Island and was moving slowly north-northeast.
How strong is Hurricane Nolo?
Nolo had maximum sustained winds of 75 miles per hour, making it a Category 1 hurricane. Forecasters expect additional strengthening and have projected possible Category 3 intensity by the weekend.
Which areas are under warnings?
Hawaii County is under a Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch. Maui County is under a Tropical Storm Watch.
What is the biggest threat from the storm?
Heavy rain, catastrophic flooding and mudslides are major concerns, particularly on Hawaii Island and Maui. Strong winds, storm surge and dangerous surf are also possible.